La Niña climate pattern should return this fall and last through winter. Here’s what to expect.
The La Niña climate pattern is forecast to return this fall and last through the winter of 2021-22, federal forecasters reported Thursday.
La Niña – a natural cycle marked by cooler-than-average seawater in the central Pacific Ocean – is one of the main drivers of weather in the U.S. and around the world, especially during the late fall, winter and early spring.
The Climate Prediction Center, which is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, released the forecast Thursday, officially declaring a “La Niña watch” for the September-November time frame.
So what does this mean for our weather?
La Niña can impact the Atlantic hurricane season by helping make atmospheric conditions more conducive for tropical storms and hurricanes to form in the Atlantic Ocean, and less conducive in the eastern Pacific Ocean, the Climate Prediction Center said.
The Atlantic hurricane season typically peaks in August, September and October.
And, so far, if 2021 is any indicator, it could be an active year for hurricanes: Through the beginning of July, five named storms in the Atlantic have already formed, a new record – breaking the previous record of four set just last year, the National Hurricane Center said.
La Niña can also act to put a damper on rain across much of the Southwest, not good news for a region that’s been plagued with excessive heat, drought and wildfires so far this year.
The prediction center said this year’s La Niña (translated from Spanish as “little girl”) is likely to persist through the winter. It’s the opposite pattern of El Niño (little boy), which features warmer-than-average seawater in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
The entire natural climate cycle is officially known as the El Niño – Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, a see-saw dance of warmer and cooler seawater in the central Pacific Ocean.
ENSO-neutral conditions, sometimes referred to as “La Nada,” which occur when seawater temperatures are about average, are forecast to persist through the summer until La Niña takes over later this year, forecasters said.
We just went through a La NIña last winter. “Is it all that unusual to have two La Niña winters back-to-back? Nope!” wrote Tom Di Liberto of NOAA’s Climate Program Office in a blog post released Thursday.
In fact, of the 12 first-year La Niña events, eight were followed by La Niña the next winter, two by neutral, and two by El Niño,” Di Liberto wrote. “Honestly, with those numbers, it would have been more surprising if we thought neutral conditions would continue all year.”
Although it’s several months away yet, a typical La Niña winter in the U.S. brings cold and snow to the Northwest and unusually dry conditions to most of the southern tier of the U.S., according to the prediction center. The Southeast and mid-Atlantic also tend to see warmer-than-average temperatures during a La Niña winter.
credit USA TODAY
With the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season upon us, now is a good time to review the list of names that will be used throughout the six-month season.
Hurricane season officially begins June 1, and federal forecasters have predicted an “above-average” season, with as many as 20 named storms forming. Of those 20, as many as 10 are forecast to be hurricanes. (An average season has 14 named storms, of which 7 are hurricanes.)
A tropical storm gets a name when its sustained winds reach 39 mph; it becomes a hurricane when its winds reach 74 mph.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO), based in Geneva, Switzerland, chooses hurricane names several years in advance, based on a strict criteria. If a hurricane is particularly deadly or costly, then its name is “retired” by the WMO and replaced by another one.
Here is the list of names for the 2021 season:
As we spend more time at HOME, now is a good time to plan for a new automatic or portable generator or have your existing generator serviced.
Hurricane season is here and projections call for an intense season.
The option of going to a hotel during a power outage may not be an option this fall given the present pandemic.
New Automatic Generators offer remote monitoring so you can keep an “eye” on your unit.
A Generator gives you peace of mind in these challenging times.
Please call to schedule an estimate appointment or a service call.
Our homes have truly become our sanctuaries during the past few months. With warmer weather on the horizon, we will certainly spend more time in our outdoor spaces with family and close friends.
Let us come by and review how we can make your outdoor space more magical; from wiring hanging lights to landscape enhancing accents.
Even small changes can make a big difference.
Give us a call to plan your
“Re-imagined outdoor or backyard space”
During this time of re-opening, Lucci Electric wants to reinforce our commitment to safety for you and our staff.
As an essential business we will continue to be available to schedule estimates and service calls. We have now expanded to general repair work, generator installations, service and repairs, as well as exterior work including landscape lighting and design.
We have taken all steps recommended by the CDC and in accordance with local, state, and federal guidelines.
-Our technicians will wear masks, gloves, shoe coverings, and utilize hand sanitizer before and after entering all homes at all times.
-They will practice social distancing at all times and will minimize time and exposure within your home.
-Our trucks and equipment will be sanitized on a regular bases.
Before starting any job, we are glad to review the policies with you and address any concerns you may have.
We are here Monday through Friday 9-5.
Your comfort and well-being are our number 1 concern.